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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 August 14
SGX CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS DIRECTION HEADING TO NORTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.50 (+0.74%) day on day and US$ 1.55 (+2.33%)&nbs ...
Monday, 11 August 14
A TALE OF TWO TRADES - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: It has without a doubt been “a cruel, cruel summer” for the Dry Bulk market so far and with second hand values still stan ...
Sunday, 10 August 14
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: This week the BDI and other segments saw some improvements. The BDI increased by 3.46 pct week on week and closed at 777 points.
...
Friday, 08 August 14
MINING DISPUTE IS CRIPPLING LOCAL ECONOMIES IN EASTERN INDONESIA - JG
- By Iwan Harsono -
It seems as if there’s no end in sight to the series of negotiations between the government and mining companies about ...
Friday, 08 August 14
CAPESIZE RATES ARE REMAINING MORE OR LESS UNCHANGED AT BOTTOM LOW LEVELS - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
An improving sentiment with stronger rates and fair demand for prompt tonnage in the Atlantic, both on the Continent and in the Med for the ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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