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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 August 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP PERFORMED WELL THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.45 (+0.66%) day on day and US$ 0.30 (+0.44%)&nbs ...
Saturday, 16 August 14
HIGH DEMAND OF IRON ORE SHIPMENTS PUSHED CAPE INDEX UPWARDS
COALspot.com: This week's freight market was buoyant with Cape and panamax index seeing a big jump pushing the BDI above 1,000 points week on c ...
Friday, 15 August 14
5TH ANNUAL POWER AND ELECTRICITY INDONESIA
5TH ANNUAL POWER AND ELECTRICITY INDONESIA
13-16 October 2014
Grand Hyatt Jakarta, Indonesia
Web Site
The country’s definitive ...
Thursday, 14 August 14
U.S. STEAM COAL IMPORTS REMAIN DOWN SHARPLY FROM HISTORIC HIGH IN 2007, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com: U.S. steam coal imports at power plants have fallen significantly from their peak level of more than 30 million tons in 2007 to less ...
Thursday, 14 August 14
INDIA'S PLAN TO START AN INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM AND TO INVEST US$ 1 TRILLION BY 2017 WILL SURELY AFFECT THE DRY BULK TRADE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic Supra market has continued its improving sentiment with rates climbing and TA´s are now up about US$ 900 w-o-w, said Fea ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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