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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 August 14
WEEKLY MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS SNP BROKER
Being at the peak of the holiday season, August is, as usual, the quietest month in terms of snp transactions, yet it is also a time very critical ...
Wednesday, 13 August 14
WHAT DOES PROJECT CARGO REALLY MEAN TO INSURERS?
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Richard Kamppari-Baker, claims manager of FP Marine Risks, explains the challenges of project cargo risk assessment from ...
Wednesday, 13 August 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALL AGAIN CLOSE TO 57 MONTHS LOWS
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price in August. HBA for the month of A ...
Monday, 11 August 14
LARGEST CHINESE TRADE SURPLUS EVER RECORDED IN JULY - BIMCO
China recorded a trade surplus of USD 47.3 billion in July 2014. The record high surplus came on the back of very strong export growth while import ...
Monday, 11 August 14
INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL SWAPS SEEING SOME POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average September 2014 increased US$ 0.20 (+0.36%) day on day and US$ 1.30 (+2.41%) per mt week on week. Th ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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