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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED HBA SUFFERED ANOTHER SETBACK IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in September. HBA for ...
Tuesday, 16 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT WON'T EXCEED 421M TONS: GOVT - JP
The government is optimistic that it will meet its coal production target for this year, which caps nationwide production at a flat number compared ...
Monday, 15 September 14
CHINA'S COAL PROPOSALS LEAVE SOME HOPE FOR EXPORTERS - DAILY NEWS
When the best thing you can say about new policies is that they aren’t as bad as they could have been, then you know your industry is in deep ...
Monday, 15 September 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP, JANUARY 2015 DELIVERY GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average October 2014 increased US$ 0.40 (+0.78%) day on day and US$ 0.55 (+1.08%) per mt week on week. The ...
Monday, 15 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP GAINED DAY ON DAY AND WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in October 2014 decreased US$ 2.30 (-3.36%) month over month, but increased day on day a ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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