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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 14 September 14
FREIGHT RATES RALLY AS DEMAND INCREASED
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number (in US$) issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange up 2.25 percent week on week. BDI cl ...
Friday, 12 September 14
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 673.3 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 11 September 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET IS TAKING A BREATHER - FEARNLEYS
Handy
We have experienced more activity in both hemispheres this week, said Fearnleys in this week's weekly report.
"We see rates c ...
Wednesday, 10 September 14
ARE GREEK BANKS ON THE VERGE TO START LENDING AGAIN? - JOHN N. COTZIAS
It is well known that Greek Banks had suffered severely after the economic crisis of 2008. From that period onwards, major changes have occur ...
Tuesday, 09 September 14
WEAK M&A DESPITE ABUNDANT DISTRESSED INDONESIA COAL ASSETS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that a meaningful level of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity leading to a consolidation of the coal sector ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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