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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 26 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - EVA TZIMA
The tanker market has been enjoying some good returns lately. Ok, that may be a big understatement, but with all the ups and downs of the past year ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
FISCAL BREAKEVEN OIL PRICES SHOW SOVEREIGN VULNERABILITY - FITCH
COALspot.com: The vulnerability of the sovereign credit profiles of net oil exporters, as shown by their fiscal breakeven oil prices, suggests that ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
UK: TRIBUNAL RULES ON SPEED AND PERFORMANCE CLAIMS UNDER TWO CONSECUTIVE TIME CHARTERPARTIES - REED SMITH
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
“Owners not to be responsible if the vessel under the currency of this charter party stays at port or anchorage or ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 68.20
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 gained month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has gain ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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