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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DROP BY 11% IN 2014 - ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: Italy’s steam coal imports expected to drop to 16 million tons in 2014 (-11% compared to 2013); coking coal imports to plunge t ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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