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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 March 15
GAS TO CHALLENGE COAL IN THE ASIAN POWER GENERATION MIX - WOOD MACKENZIE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Wood Mackenzie says that coal is facing increasing competition from gas in the power sector. Coal has dominated as the fu ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
RIO TINTO PAID US$ 7.1 BILLION IN TAXES IN 2014
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has published its latest Taxes paid report, detailing the US$7.1 billion in taxes paid by the company around the world in 2 ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
NEARLY 17% OF US COAL PRODUCTION UNECONOMIC AT CURRENT MARKET PRICING - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: Close to 17% of forecast 2015 US coal production is at risk of idling or closure, totalling 162 million short tons (Mst), as these mi ...
Tuesday, 17 March 15
Q3' SA COAL SWAP CLOSED $57.30 PMT W/E 13 MARCH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and gained week on week.
The Q2 swap has fe ...
Monday, 16 March 15
MAKING THE WORLD GO ROUND - SEABORNE TRADE! - CLARKSONS
Money, or even love if you prefer, are claimed to make the world go round. For the shipping world, however, it’s trade that sets things spinn ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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