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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Sunday, 22 March 15
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO RISE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady this week as all the segments increased after many weeks of weak trend.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ...
Friday, 20 March 15
HARD COAL MARKET 2014: DESPITE THE ENERGY TURNAROUND, HARD COAL IMPORTS TO GERMANY RISE BY MORE THAN 6% (PART 1)
Hard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation ...
Friday, 20 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 5.9% INCREASE WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
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