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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 16 March 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS: DECLINED
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.48 per MT (-4.77%) month over month and US$ 0.93 (-1.84%) we ...
Monday, 16 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.74% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.17 (-3.74%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1 ...
Sunday, 15 March 15
BDI DECLINED LESSER THAN 1% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDO-INDIA FIRM
COALspot.com: The most of indices, including bulk dry index were falling this week. The BDI has been down by just 0.53 points and closing at 562 po ...
Saturday, 14 March 15
CAPESIZE DRY BULKERS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN $3,000 AND $9,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO
BIMCO issued its latest short-term estimates for the dry bulk market. For March/May: BIMCO assesses that the Capesize time charter (T/C) average ra ...
Friday, 13 March 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.3% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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