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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 24 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY Q2 CLOSED $ 1.87 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q3 CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has dropped U ...
Tuesday, 24 March 15
ARGUS MEDITERRANEAN SOLID FUELS 2015 CONFERENCE | 2-3 JUNE, ISTANBUL
Press Release: Argus Media is proud to announce Argus Mediterranean Solid Fuels, which will be held in Istanbul,on 2-3February.
Argus produces ...
Monday, 23 March 15
IS OIL GETTING READY TO PLUNGE BELOW $40? - FORBES
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In my last crude oil market update in late-February, I expressed my skepticism toward the oil price rebound. Since then, ...
Monday, 23 March 15
Q4' 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DECLINED 6.79% M-O-M; 2.55% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.42 per MT (-6.33%) month over month and US$ 1.37 (-2.77%) we ...
Monday, 23 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: Q3 DELIVERY HAS FALLEN 7.93% MONTH-ON-MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.09 (-7.06%) per MT month over month and US$ 2.00 (-3 ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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