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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 30 March 15
Q3' 15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED 8.7% M-M; 12.77% Y-TO-D
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.00 (-8.70%) per MT month over month and US$ 1.33 (-2 ...
Monday, 30 March 15
Q2' FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.47% HIGHER THAN Q4' CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.42 per MT (-10.43%) month over month and US$ 1.60 (-3.32%) w ...
Sunday, 29 March 15
INDO - INDIA: SUPRAMAX & PANAMAX FREIGHT MARKET STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market was almost stable as all segments slightly up except Panamax sector.
The BDI was up by just 0.85% week over w ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
IS NORTHERN EUROPE THE NEW MINING ELDORADO?
The Europe Mining 2015 Summit, organised by Global Summits organizer IRN on 17-18 June in Amsterdam, The Netherlands, will gather senior level repr ...
Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressur ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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