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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 June 15
PANAMAX RATE AVERAGED $22.82 PMT IN THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF JUNE FOR THE GRAIN ROUTE FROM SANTOS, BRAZIL, TO QINGDAO, CHINA - INTERMODAL
This year, Brazil will be exporting a record 96 million tons of soybean crop and starting in August the country will begin shipping a second corn c ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
MERS: POTENTIAL CHARTERPARTY IMPLICATIONS - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
South Korea's current outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) has been the focus of much international at ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
Q3 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP PRICE DOWN 50 CENTS OVER PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains month on month but declined week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was clim ...
Tuesday, 16 June 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: PRICES MOVED UP ON THE WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 rose month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ 1.70 ...
Monday, 15 June 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP: Q1'16 DELIVERY CLOSED 1.14% LOWER THAN Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up $ 1.10 per MT (2.47%) month over month to US$ 45.67 per mt. The swap ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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