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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 03 July 15
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE EQUALS SEVEN-YEAR LOW - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry fell during the three months to May 2015 to a level equal to the lowest rating recorded in the p ...
Thursday, 02 July 15
TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION IN MINING 2015 - IXG
Information Exchange Group’s Technology and Innovation in Mining 2015- International Summit on Mining
Press Release: The inaugural editi ...
Thursday, 02 July 15
THE PERFORMANCE OF THE CAPESIZE SEGMENT PUSHED DRY BULK MARKET TO UPWARD LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market continued its upward movement last week, with the BDI closing off on Friday (26 June) in excess of 800 points, wh ...
Wednesday, 01 July 15
Q4'15 AND Q1'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS ROSE W-O-W AND M-O-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 rose month over month and down week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ ...
Wednesday, 01 July 15
BEIJING HAS OFFICIALLY EXTENDED BY TWO YEARS ITS SUBSIDY PROGRAM TO SUPPORT LOCAL SHIPPING COMPANIES IN SCRAPPING THEIR OLD TONNAGE - INTERMODAL
Last week, Beijing has officially extended by two years its subsidy program to support local shipping companies in scrapping their old tonnage in w ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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