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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 30 June 15
Q1'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 43.45 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was decli ...
Monday, 29 June 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS UP SLIGHTLY MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.57 (1.11%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Monday, 29 June 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up $ 0.49 per MT (1.08%) month over month to US$ 45.77 per mt. The swap was ...
Saturday, 27 June 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS STEADY EARLIER IN THE WEEK; SOFTEN INTO WEEK'S END
COALspot.com: The freight market remain steady earlier in the week, but towards end of the week BDI and BCI shows some signs of softening.
The ...
Friday, 26 June 15
INDONESIA COAL PRODUCTION FALLS BETWEEN JAN-MAY : JG
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources announced that coal production declined to 166 million tons between January and May, a 19 percent drop ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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