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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 09 July 15
LACK OF FRESH BUSINESS IN THE PACIFIC LEFT CAPESIZE RATES MOVING SIDEWAYS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: Intermodal ship broker says in its weekly report that, a different picture from what we saw the previous week was painted during the ...
Wednesday, 08 July 15
RIO TINTO'S MODERNISED KITIMAT SMELTER BEGINS PRODUCTION; KITIMAT BECOMING ONE OF THE LOWEST COST SMELTERS IN THE WORLD
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto is preparing its first shipments of metal from its world-class Kitimat aluminium smelter in Canada following an extensive m ...
Wednesday, 08 July 15
Q3'15 INDONESIA COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.14% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined $ ...
Tuesday, 07 July 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DECLINED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was down US$ ...
Tuesday, 07 July 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ADVANCED MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up $ 0.28 per MT (-0.61%) month over month to US$ 45.85 per mt. The swap wa ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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