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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 15 July 15
ANY FUTURE IRAN OIL DEAL WILL BOOST SUPPLY FUNDAMENTALS WITH TANKER OWNERS HOPING FROM TEHRAN TO QUICKLY BOOST ITS PRODUCTION
With the Greek “Euro-drama” apparently over, at least for now, Iran’s oil deal still remains elusive, with any potential agreemen ...
Tuesday, 14 July 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS MAINTAIN OVERALL NEGATIVE TONE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.02 per MT (-2.23%) month over month to US$ 44.68 per mt. The swap ...
Tuesday, 14 July 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS DECLINE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.47 (2.82%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Monday, 13 July 15
THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SOAR 23 PER CENT TO 24.08 MILLION TONNES AT 12 MAJOR INDIAN PORTS
Import of thermal coal jumped 23 per cent to 24.08 million tonnes at 12 major ports in the first quarter of the fiscal, even as the government cont ...
Monday, 13 July 15
THE DRY BULK MARKET CLOSED ON A POSITIVE TONE THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Despite Greece crisis and turmoil in the stock market across the world , the freight market overall was firm and up in all segments t ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
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