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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 July 15
INDONESIA'S HBA HITS ALL-TIME LOW OF $59.16 PER METRIC TON IN JULY 2015
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price once again to US$ 59.16 pe ...
Thursday, 16 July 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DECLINE W-O-W, M-O-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was down US$ ...
Wednesday, 15 July 15
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The last few weeks have been rather strenuous for Greece and China, each for their own reasons, affecting most markets around the world. In Greece ...
Wednesday, 15 July 15
IRAN OIL RECOVERY TO TAKE YEARS, BUT COULD START IN 2016 - FITCH
Iranian crude oil production is likely to increase in 2016 but will take a number of years to reach its previous peak, Fitch Ratings says.
The ...
Wednesday, 15 July 15
SAS TO BUILD 108 KM ROAD FOR COAL IN JAMBI, SAYS JAKARTA POST
Jambi Governor Hasan Basri Agus said on Sunday that mining company PT Sinar Anugerah Sukses (SAS) would develop a 108-kilometer road with a width o ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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