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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 April 16
INDONESIA BANNED COAL EXPORTS TO PHILIPPINES BY BARGES DUE TO SECURITY CONCERN
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) on behalf of the government of Indonesia has Freeze coal exports by barges to Phi ...
Tuesday, 26 April 16
NEWBUILDING DEMAND DOWN EVERYWHERE? - CLARKSONS
Newbuild activity provides one indication of an owner country’s likely future fleet growth, though secondhand sale and purchase and demolitio ...
Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elev ...
Monday, 25 April 16
WEEKLY CS (I) COAL INDICES END ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.05 percent week over week to averaging $38.67 per ton on this past Friday, acco ...
Monday, 25 April 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX ENDS WEEK ON A POSITIVE NOTE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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