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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 June 16
ZERO SUPPLY TO FUEL GROWTH IN THE DRY BULK MARKET SAYS BIMCO PRESIDENT
The dry bulk market could become profitable again in 2019 – but only if a series of extremely tough and sustained measures are taken by shipo ...
Wednesday, 01 June 16
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
In another page from this year’s oil drama, oil has, after a series of gains, rebounded to ~$50 / barrel and immediately stopped climbing. &n ...
Tuesday, 31 May 16
CS50 INDONESIA COAL INDEX UP 0.28% COMPARED WITH A WEEK AGO
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $39.01 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 30 May 16
BORYEONG POWER PLANT TO IMPORT HALF A MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 500,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal T ...
Monday, 30 May 16
BCI ENDING AT 830 POINTS, DOWN 4.6 PER CENT W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week. The freight market was weak this past ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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