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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 01 July 16
BREXIT SET TO HURT SHIPPING IN THE LONG-TERM AS IT WILL TAKE ITS TOLL IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY'S GROWTH - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Setting aside the short-term negative impact of the Brexit, in terms of stock market and currency volatility, it’s more than evident that the ...
Friday, 01 July 16
U.S'S COAL EXPORTS HAVE DECLINED FOR TWELVE QUARTERS IN A ROW - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s one of the largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.7 million short t ...
Thursday, 30 June 16
CAPE - THIS WEEK'S FREIGHT AND ACTIVITY LEVEL HAVE KEPT STABLE - FEARNLEYS
Cape
This week’s freight and activity level have kept stable. It is support at the present levels and despite a volatile market the freight ...
Thursday, 30 June 16
OIL PRODUCT TANKERS EARNINGS DECLINE AS STOCKBUILDING SLOWS DOWN - BIMCO
BIMCO’s expectations remain as the oil product tanker fleet continues to grow with earnings at the lowest since Q3 in 2014. But there is stil ...
Wednesday, 29 June 16
THE DRY BULK INDICES, OPPOSITE TO MOST GLOBAL MARKET INDICES, ROSE END OF LAST WEEK
Last week closed off with a massive shockwave for markets across the world following the British referendum, the result of which will mark the begi ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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