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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 27 June 16
INDONESIA BANS (AGAIN) SHIPS SAILING TO THE PHILIPPINES FROM INDONESIA
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Transport Ministry strictly prohibited harbour masters issuing permits to all Indonesian-flagged vessels bound for the ...
Friday, 24 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP MARGINALLY
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s one of the largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.4 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 22 June 16
SMALL RISE IN SHIPPING CONFIDENCE - MOORE STEPHENS
In May 2016, the average confidence level expressed by respondents in the markets in which they operate was 5.1 on a scale of 1 (low) to 10 (high). ...
Wednesday, 22 June 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
Stagnation- With the BDI stuck in the low 600 points for almost a month now, if we had to choose a word to describe the state of the Dry Bulk freig ...
Monday, 20 June 16
CS COAL INDICES CONTINUE UPWARD TREND SINCE END APRIL
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up again by 0.05 percent week over week to averaging $39.39 per ton this past we ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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