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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 06 July 16
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS VASSILIOU
After a fairly silent first half of the year in the ship repair sector, we have finally a harmonized workload in the shipyards around the world. Ma ...
Tuesday, 05 July 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY NOT SEEN UNTIL 2018 - SGX
SGX freight derivative volumes totaled 36,542 contracts in June (-28% m/m; +52% y/y), while open interest averaged 121,189 contracts during the mon ...
Tuesday, 05 July 16
SPOT COAL INDEXES FOR INDONESIAN COAL CONTINUE TO HOLD FIRM - CS COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up by 0.83 percent week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week, sh ...
Monday, 04 July 16
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE CLIMBED 2.30% IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price increased in July 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the r ...
Monday, 04 July 16
BDI ROSE ON STRONGER DEMAND ACROSS ALL VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 11.16 percent from la ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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