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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2 ...
Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing ...
Tuesday, 12 July 16
DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS, CS COAL INDICES HELD AT THE SAME LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was flat week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week.
Due to the ...
Monday, 11 July 16
COAL MARKETS SAW IMPROVED PRICES IN H1 2016 - SGX'S COMMODITIES MID-YEAR REFLECTION
COALspot.com: Coal
Coal markets saw improved prices in H1 2016 with the benchmark coking coal and thermal coal spot prices rising 18% and 25%, re ...
Monday, 11 July 16
THE MAIN SEA FREIGHT INDEX, BDI ROSE FURTHER ON 8 JULY DUE TO STRONG DEMAND FOR PANAMAX SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.84 percent from las ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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