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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 03 October 16
THERMAL COAL PRICE SHOOTS UP AND MADE THEIR VERTICAL MOVE IN 5 YEARS; PRICE RALLY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing and it is expected to rally at l ...
Monday, 03 October 16
DRY-BULK SHIPPING FREIGHTS SLIDE IN SOFTENING SPOT MARKET
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline slightly and ending in a negative note this past ...
Friday, 30 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT FELL 2.3% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Friday, 30 September 16
OPEC CUT SUPPORTS SLOW OIL RECOVERY, NOT STRONG REBOUND - FITCH
OPEC's oil production target announced this week signals the potential for greater co-ordination among its members, but the target itself is la ...
Thursday, 29 September 16
FREIGHT RATES MIGHT CONTINUE TO SLIDE NEXT WEEK DUE TO HOLIDAYS IN CHINA
Supramax
Flat start to week followed by a slight gain in rates for Supramaxes, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
According to Fear ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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