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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 October 16
INDIAN STEELMAKERS' DELEVERAGING AT RISK ON COKING COAL PRICE JUMP - FITCH
The sharp increase in coking coal prices since August 2016 could squeeze Indian steelmakers' profitability and threaten their deleveraging, Fit ...
Wednesday, 12 October 16
UK SEABORNE COAL IMPORT PLUNGES 64% AS A WORRYING TREND LURKS - BIMCO
The main exporters of thermal coal for coal- fired power plants to the United Kingdom (UK) have experienced a heavy decline in seaborne cargo volum ...
Monday, 10 October 16
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since September 2014. The government declared benchmark prices for Indon ...
Monday, 10 October 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET FIRMS UP ON STRONG CAPE PERFORMANCE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose again and ending in a positive note this past week. ...
Friday, 07 October 16
INDONESIA'S DEMAND FOR COAL REMAINS STRONG: BP
Indonesia's domestic demand for coal shows no sign of slowing down as the country is banking on its coal abundance to meet the country' ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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