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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 02 March 17
ULTRAMAX: INDONESIA TO INDIA COAL ROUNDS IS BEING FIXED AT AROUND MID 11K BSS SINGAPORE DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Holiday mode within Atlantic i.e. very few movements but rates remained still positive, mostly in the USG region where tight tonnage sup ...
Wednesday, 01 March 17
2017 IS LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE A GOOD YEAR FOR A NUMBER OF COMMODITIES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
2017 is looking like it will be a good year for a number of commodities. Following the price recovery witnessed in 2016 across a number of commodit ...
Tuesday, 28 February 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 17.39% LESS COAL IN JANUARY; TRADE VALUE UP 11.87% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,625.6 M ...
Monday, 27 February 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS FIRMED UP THIS PAST WEEK; BCI ROSE 57.64% W/W
COALspot.com: The Freight market was firmed up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commod ...
Friday, 24 February 17
RUSSIAN OIL AND GAS WITHSTANDS OIL PRICE SHOCK - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the Russian oil and gas sector has withstood the oil price stock of 1H16. Key events of 2016 include record ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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