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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 24 February 17
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ESTIMATED AT 16.8 MMST - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 23 February 17
ULTRA SUPRAMAX: INDONESIA TO INDIA IS GETTING AROUND $10-11K BASIS SINGAPORE DELIVERY
Supramax
The week started off quietly in the Atlantic with more activity in the Pacific basin.
According to Fearnleys weekly report, frontha ...
Wednesday, 22 February 17
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
In 2016 a session of the IMO committee in London, set the new prerequisites effective from January 2020, which will necessitate global Sulphur cont ...
Tuesday, 21 February 17
INDIA'S JANUARY COAL IMPORTS DECLINE 21.7 PERCENT YEAR -ON-YEAR TO 14.31 MT - PTI
Coal imports declined by 21.7 per cent to 14.31 million tonnes in January as the power utilities did not lift much fuel due to abundant stock avail ...
Tuesday, 21 February 17
CHINESE EXPORTS SHOWED A YEAR-ON-YEAR RISE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN TEN MONTHS; S. KOREA'S EXPORTS UP FOR PAST THREE MONTHS IN A ROW - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
We have started to some sparks of life in the commodities markets these past weeks, with prices having shown a strong push during the past couple o ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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