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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 March 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
Over the past two weeks, the Dry Baltic Index has been on an upward trend, breaking the 1000 point mark and creating a positive sentiment for the u ...
Tuesday, 14 March 17
ORDERBOOK-TO-FEET RATIO DECREASING; THE FREIGHT MARKET IMPROVING
It seems as though the renewed optimism that has arisen from the recent upward trends being noted in the freight market, the dry bulk market has be ...
Monday, 13 March 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE HAS SHIPPED 11.563 MILLION TONS COAL IN FEBRUARY 2017; DECLINED 12.19 PERCENT M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export ports has shipped $AU 1,4 ...
Monday, 13 March 17
INDO - INDIA COAL FREIGHT RATES STAY FIRM
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities ros ...
Friday, 10 March 17
ESTIMATED U.S. COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT WEEK ENDED MARCH 4, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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