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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 March 17
JAPAN'S RENEWED COMMITMENT TO COAL - BENJAMIN SPORTON
Japan is one of the largest economies in the world, and has long been a major consumer and importer of energy and a leader in energy technology dev ...
Monday, 20 March 17
IS THE DRY BULK INDUSTRY STILL ON TRACK FOR PROFITABILITY IN 2019? - PETER SAND
The industry remains well on target for profitable freight rates in 2019! This relies however, on the projected fleet supply growth rate of 0% in 2 ...
Friday, 17 March 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT VOLUME SLIDES 6.5 PERCENT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 16 March 17
CHINA IMPOSING TOUGHER CONTROLS ON LOW-QUALITY COAL IMPORTS
China is ramping up controls on imports of low-quality coal due to concerns about smog and overcapacity in the world’s top coal consumer, a g ...
Thursday, 16 March 17
CAPESIZE: SHOWING STRENGTH; PANAMAX: VERY QUIET - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
The Atlantic market faced less activity from the USG whereas at the Cont tonnage seemed to tighten up with more cargoes emerging. Despit ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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