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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 19 December 22
ENERGY CRISIS FUELS COAL COMEBACK IN GERMANY - REUTERS
Coal has made a comeback in Germany this year, as Europe’s largest economy turns to the dirty fuel to power it through an energy crisis.
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Thursday, 15 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While observing the ship repair market very close to the end of the year, we are confident that shipyards worldwide are entering a new era. The nex ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
STRONG COAL PRICES SUPPORT ROBUST EARNINGS AT INDONESIAN COAL MINERS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects cash flow generation at Indonesian coal miners to remain strong in 2023, based on its forecast for coal prices to remain high ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
BIMCO CII CLAUSE FINALLY RELEASED: DOES IT MAKE ANY SENSE OF CCI? - WFW
WHAT IS CII?
The new International Maritime Organisation’s (“IMO’s”) Carbon Intensity Indicator (“CII”) cer ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
COAL BASE RAMPS UP ENERGY SUPPLY FOR WINTER NEEDS - XINHUA
Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China’s leading coal production base, has kicked its production into high gear to meet heating needs as col ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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