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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
China’s coal imports from January to October were 230.1m mt, a decrease of around 10.7% y-o-y (2021 totalled 323.2m mt). The question is if t ...
Wednesday, 07 December 22
INDIA'S STEEL MINISTRY SEEKS IMPORT TAX WAIVER FOR COKING COAL - SOURCES REUTERS REPORTED
India’s steel ministry has asked the finance ministry for a waiver of import tax on coking coal among a slew of raw materials, as it scramble ...
Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 17% IN APR-NOV PERIOD - PTI
The country’s coal production increased 17 per cent to 524.20 million tonnes in the April-November period of the ongoing fiscal.
...
Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDONESIA AIMS TO STARTS COLLECTING COAL LEVY IN Q1 2023 - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia aims to establish a coal fund agency and start collecting a coal levy in the first quarter next year, to help ensure supply security for ...
Saturday, 03 December 22
COMPLEX RUSSIAN PRICE CAP MAKES MARITIME VISIBILITY A MUST - WINDWARD
Many commentators and analysts are speculating about the potential impact the Russian seaborne oil price cap will have on organizations and entitie ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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