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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 January 23
ELEVATED COAL PRICE A DRAG ON MARGINS OF DOMESTIC BASE METAL PLAYERS: ICRA
The increased price of coal continue to be a drag on the margin of domestic base metal players with no immediate relief in sight, rating agency ICR ...
Monday, 02 January 23
CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK BY 2035: REPORT - REUTERS
China’s primary energy consumption is likely to peak at nearly 6.03 billion tonnes of standard coal between 2030 and 2035, refining giant Chi ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
INDIA'S COAL DEMAND LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 2030-2035: MINISTER - ANI
The demand for coal in India will continue and is likely to peak between 2030-2035, Union Minister of Coal, Mines, and Parliamentary Affairs Pralha ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
RIO TINTO AND PARTNERS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS $450M IN GOVERNMENT COMPENSATION FOR COAL PRICE CAP - THE GUARDIAN
Compensation payments for the Gladstone power plant remain the sticking point in the federal government’s coal price cap compensation negotia ...
Wednesday, 28 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) published a Global Trade Update on December 13th highlighting that global trade wou ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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