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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 07 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA USUAL COAL RUNS WERE COVERED AT US$ 12K - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earnings up close to 15 pct in 5 trading days, thus patience finally paying off for owners of the big ships - Chinese play ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
A CASE FOR 20/20 VISION? IMO'S LOW SULPHUR FUEL LIMIT UNDER MARPOL ANNEX VI WHICH COMES INTO FORCE ON 1ST JANUARY 2020
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The implementation of the global 0.5% sulphur cap for bunker fuel under MARPOL Annex VI in just under 18 months’ ti ...
Friday, 05 October 18
COAL PRODUCTION REACHES 64% OF 2018 TARGET : THE JAKARTA POST
National coal production up to August has already reached 311 million tons, or 64 percent of this year's total target of 485 million tons, acco ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
VALUE OF AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TIPPED TO DECLINE SHARPLY OVER NEXT 18 MONTHS - THE GUARDIAN
Thermal coal prices forecast to drop 25% and metallurgical coal prices 23% as value of iron ore exports also falls
The value of Aust ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
The bunker fuel supply and availability landscape is close to its transformation with the enforcement of the IMO’s global 0.5% fuel Sulphur c ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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