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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 18 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/WC INDIA SUPRAS ARE FIXING AROUND MID $14000S P/D BASIS SPORE DELIVERY
Capesize
The volatile Cape market continues this week, especially in the Pacific says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
...
Thursday, 18 October 18
COAL SHORTAGE HITS POWER SECTOR AGAIN; HOW INDIA CAN GET ITS PRODUCTION RIGHT - ANIL SWARUP
By convincing states of the value proposition of increased production, the record production of Fy15 & Fy16 can be emulated.
The ...
Thursday, 18 October 18
CHINA POWER REFORM NEUTRAL ON GRIDS, PRESSURES IPP MARGINS - FITCH RATINGS
China's power sector reform has a broadly neutral impact on transmission grids although it will pressure the power producers' margins, says ...
Wednesday, 17 October 18
ESCROW SERVICE FOR BALTIC MEMBERS NOW LIVE
The Baltic Exchange’s Escrow Service for its members to hold deposits for ship sale transactions goes live today (15 October). The service is ...
Wednesday, 17 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In the last three months approximately 72 tankers changed hands involving ships larger than 33kdwt up to VLCC. 43 of those vessels had to do ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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