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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 02 October 18
PANAMAX: A FURTHER RISE ACROSS ALL MAIN ROUTES THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Finally an upward recovery was in sight in the spot market the past few days, after the prolonged negative pressure noted the weeks pr ...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
THE PRICE OF OIL CONTINUES ITS CLIMB AMIDST A SERIES OF CONCERNS REGARDING SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a busy week for oil traders as the price of oil continues its climb amidst a series of concerns regarding supply constraints.
...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
INDONESIA GETS READY TO MEET INCREASED COAL DEMAND FROM CHINA, FREIGHT TO RESPOND - MIKAL BOE
Indonesian coal suppliers have increased their domestic coal production target by 4.5 percent from a previous 485 million tonnes to a massive 507 m ...
Monday, 01 October 18
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000 DWT FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SURABAYA TRIP WITH REDELIVERY TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $13,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A stop-start market for the big ships with many expectations and few fulfilled. Holidays curtailed trading early in the week, but the ...
Monday, 01 October 18
A NO-DEAL BREXIT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY HAVE CONSEQUENCES FOR IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS - KATE JONES, THE BALTIC BRIEFING
If you live in the UK, you might be finding it difficult to get away from the Brexit debate. “Hard Brexit”, “soft Brexit”, ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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