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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 October 18
CHINESE POWER PLANT STOCKPILES AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2015 - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
Chinese power plant coal stockpiles have climbed to approximately 83.3 million tons as of the middle of this month, said Jeffrey Landsberg in his e ...
Tuesday, 23 October 18
WILL THE U.S. COAL DECLINE CONTINUE? - FORBES
What’s Trump’s new coal proposal?
Adding to its controversial plan to leverage federal authority to keep retiring baselo ...
Monday, 22 October 18
CONTINUED HIGH LNG PRICES; TRADE WAR IMPACT LIMITED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects sustained high spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) and contract prices over the next two quarters on limited investment in LNG e ...
Monday, 22 October 18
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
The oil market in the winter season is generally characterized by demand for diesel, particularly in the northern hemisphere, leaving product marke ...
Saturday, 20 October 18
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW A LARGE VOLUME OF FIXING, WITH INDONESIA AGAIN THE DRIVING FORCE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to last week after a shaky start, with a Coaltrans taking participants out of the market early on and with rates slippi ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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