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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 January 19
CAPESIZE: A MORE POSITIVE START OF THE NEW YEAR THAN EXPECTED FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
A more positive start of the new year than expected for the big ships, with average gains of US$ 500/day posted on the first tra ...
Tuesday, 01 January 19
INDONESIA: COAL PRODUCTION EXPECTED TO EXCEED THIS YEAR'S TARGET - JP
Indonesian coal production reached 456 million tons up to Thursday or 94.02 percent of this year’s total target of 485 million tons, accordin ...
Monday, 31 December 18
THE INDONESIAN COAL MARKET Q1 '19 FORECAST: LOOKS DIRECTIONLESS - TRADER
The Indonesian coal market looks directionless, an International coal trader said when we asked him to give his forecast for 1Q' 2019.
...
Monday, 31 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND GREW BY 1% IN 2017; GLOBAL COAL POWER GENERATION INCREASED BY OVER 250 TWH - IEA
After two years of decline, global coal demand grew by 1% in 2017 to 7585 Mt as stronger global economic growth increased both industrial output an ...
Sunday, 30 December 18
MAJOR LNG BUYERS' UNCONTRACTED DEMAND TO QUADRUPLE BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest research reveals that uncontracted demand by the world’s seven largest LNG buyers could quadruple to 80 million ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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