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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevai ...
Friday, 22 February 19
AUSTRALIAN HIGH CV THERMAL COAL PRICES AT 19-MONTH LOW, BUT NOT FOR LONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
The benchmark Newcastle high energy thermal coal price has fallen from US$100/tonne at the turn of the new year to US$88/tonne. Thermal coal has be ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
EFFECTIVE NOTICES OF ARBITRATION - AVOIDING WASTED COSTS AND A POTENTIALLY TIME-BARRED CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a recent case, The Amity [2017], charterers successfully set aside an arbitration award on the basis that ow ...
Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in com ...
Tuesday, 19 February 19
AUSTRALIA'S COAL FUTURE UNDER THREAT AS MORE CHANGES HIT FOSSIL FUELS GLOBALLY - ABC
Two disparate decisions from opposite corners of the world have sounded warnings for the future of Australia’s coal industry.
...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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