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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 18 February 23
PAKISTAN PLANS TO QUADRUPLE DOMESTIC COAL-FIRED POWER, MOVE AWAY FROM GAS - REUTERS
Pakistan plans to quadruple its domestic coal-fired capacity to reduce power generation costs and will not build new gas-fired plants in the coming ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
2023 MARINE FUEL MARKET PREDICTIONS - JOHN BERGMAN, AURAMARINE
The drive for decarbonisation we witnessed in 2022 has continued into 2023, demonstrating the shipping’s industry positive strides in the fas ...
Saturday, 28 January 23
COAL GROWTH BLIP NOT TO BE REPEATED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As 2022 drew to a close, global coal demand looked set to end the year just 1.2% up on the previous year. But that small increase was enough to pus ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT INCREASES IN DECEMBER 2022 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in December 2022, official data showed.
The country produced 400 million tonne ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
COKING COAL NARROWS THE GAP ON THERMAL AS CHINA REOPENS - REUTERS
The premium of high-grade thermal coal over coking coal in Asia is shrinking as China’s re-opening and ending of a ban on imports from Austra ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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