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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 02 March 23
DRY BULK MARKET: THE WAY CHINA GOES, SO GOES THE MARKET - BIMCO
We expect demand growth within the 1.5-2.5% range in 2023, driven by China’s economic recovery. Improvements in consumer sentiment should hel ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA, CHINA DEMAND BOOST LOW-RANK THERMAL COAL PRICES IN ASIA - RUSSELL, REUTERS
Signs of stronger import demand from India have arrested the decline in price of the thermal coal grades most commonly sought by the world’s ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA CHEERS THE RETURN OF ‘KING COAL’ AS INDUSTRY SEES BUOYANT FUTURE - REUTERS
India’s coal industry celebrated the return of its major conference after a three-year pandemic hiatus by presenting a bullish view of demand ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
GEO CONNECT ASIA RETURNS IN MARCH TO ACCELERATE THE REGION’S GEOSPATIAL AND LOCATION INTELLIGENCE CAPABILITIES
Press Release: The third edition of GCA will be held in conjunction with Digital Construction Asia and the inaugural Drones Asia – an event d ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
THE DECLINE IN THE COAL PRICE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT - INTERMODAL
Last week, the front-month API2 future rose by 3.5%, but since the beginning of the year the future has fallen by 39% to $136.65/t, while the Newca ...
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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