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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 26 February 23
MAWANI AND JEDDAH CHAMBER SIGN AN AGREEMENT TO BUILD INTEGRATED LOGISTICS PARK
Press Release: The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) and Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry have today inked an agreement to set up an integrated ...
Saturday, 25 February 23
INDONESIA IS STILL BY FAR THE TOP SUPPLIER OF COAL TO CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels, said ban ...
Wednesday, 22 February 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The short-term outlook of the global soybean market is currently pivoted by a combination of weather patterns that are affecting the harvest progre ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
OIL UNLIKELY TO BREAK ABOVE $100/BBL THIS YEAR, J.P.MORGAN SAYS –- REUTERS
Brent oil prices are unlikely to breach the $100 a barrel level this year, barring any significant geopolitical drivers, with OPEC+ potentially add ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
CHINA'S COAL PRICES FALL TO 1 YR-LOW, CLOUDING DEMAND AND IMPORT OUTLOOK - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal prices hit their lowest levels in a year this week on rising inventories as domestic mine production is recovering faste ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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