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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 October 19
COAL TO PLAY SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN SOUTH AFRICA POWER MIX - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
South Africa’s plans for additional power generation over the next decade will involve a variety of energy sources, with coal still playing a ...
Monday, 21 October 19
ULTRAMAX: IN ASIA, TRIPS FROM THE SINGAPORE AREA WERE PAYING BETWEEN $14,000 AND $16,000, DEPENDING ON THE VESSEL SIZE AND DURATION - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market traded in a relatively stable supported manner in the Pacific this week while the Atlantic experienced weakening turbulence ...
Friday, 18 October 19
WHY CRUDE TANKER RATES JUST FELL (HALFWAY) BACK TO EARTH - FREIGHT WAVES
Panic drove crude-tanker rates up, very briefly, to mind-bogglingly high assessed levels of around $300,000 per day. Now, the fear factor has been ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SHORT TERM STRENGTH FOR OZ COMMODITIES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Volatility in the global commodity markets is not expected to unduly rattle Australia’s commodity outlook through 2020, but the 2021 picture ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SINGAPORE'S APEX TO LAUNCH LOW-SULFUR FUEL OIL CONTRACT AHEAD OF NEW SHIPPING RULES - REUTERS
Singapore-based Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) will launch a low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) futures contract on Friday aimed at helping shipping and ener ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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