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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Dry bulk freight rates rebounded last week, a development that came as a relief following the recent negative sentiment that prevailed in the marke ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
INDONESIA REVIEWING RULES MANDATING COAL SALES TO LOCAL BUYERS: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia is reviewing rules that require coal miners to sell a portion of their coal to local buyers, a government official said on Monday, as sup ...
Tuesday, 03 December 19
STABILITY AND COMPATIBILITY OF VERY LOW SULPHUR FUEL OILS - GARD
In order to meet increasing restrictions on the sulphur content in marine fuel as defined by MARPOL Annex VI Regulation 14.1.3, the characteristics ...
Monday, 02 December 19
COAL PRODUCTION IN INDIA UP BY 164.58 MT IN 5 YEARS - BUSINESS LINE
Raw coal production in the country has increased from 567.77 million tons (MT) in 2013-14 to 730.35 MT in 2018-19, Union Coal and Parliamentary Aff ...
Monday, 02 December 19
OPEC PREPS FOR OIL'S 2020 BALANCING ACT - WOOD MACKENZIE
What steps should OPEC and its non-OPEC partners take to keep the market in balance in 2020? Ahead of OPEC’s meeting in Vienna on 5 and 6 Dec ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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