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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 07 December 19
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL PRICE SURGE, WHILE OTHERS LANGUISH, IS TROUBLING - REUTERS
Coal prices around the world are gently sliding as demand from top importers such as China, India and even Europe remains subdued amid a so far mil ...
Saturday, 07 December 19
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL, THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX REMAINED IN POSITIVE MODE, DESPITE SOME AREAS LACKING FRESH ACTIVITY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week the Capesize market maintained healthy earnings, as an end of year surge took the Capesize 5TC back up to $25,202 by mid-wee ...
Friday, 06 December 19
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR DECEMBER INCREASES BY US 3 CENTS MOM
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 December 19
IMO 2020 IS ABOUT TO GET REAL - GAVIN THOMPSON
As I write this edition of the APAC Energy Buzz from my desk in Singapore I can see ships. Lots of ships. No surprise given that Singapore is among ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
FITCH RATINGS: CASH FLOW GENERATION TO SLOW DOWN FOR INDONESIAN COAL MINERS
Fitch Ratings' negative outlook on the Indonesian coal-mining sector reflects our view of weaker cash flow generation on account of declining c ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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