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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 December 19
BACK TO FUTURE FOR BUSH AS AUSTRALIA CONSIDERS MOVING AWAY FROM COAL NEWCASTLE - HERALD
Looking backwards could show the way forward for regional communities planning for a future beyond mining.
One of Australia’s ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.01 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points, down 0.01 percent week on week.
The index, released by China Taiy ...
Tuesday, 17 December 19
YEAR 2019: IT IS LOOKING SET THAT THIS YEAR WILL BE ONE OF THE SLOWEST IN TERMS OF DRY BULK NEWBUILDING ACTIVITY - ALLIED
With just two weeks remaining before 2019 comes to an end, it is now looking set that this year will be one of the slowest in terms of dry bulk new ...
Monday, 16 December 19
ULTRAMAX: A 63,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY FOR A SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, FOR RE-DELIVERY TO CHINA AT $11,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was one-way traffic for the Capesize market this past week, with all routes giving up value. While downward momentum may have slowe ...
Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
- Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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