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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 22 December 19
TRADING PLACES FOR 2020 - BALTIC EXCHANGE
In the sea of 2020 predictions, Saxo Bank’s Outrageous Predictions sail their own very unique course. For nearly 20 years the Danish investme ...
Saturday, 21 December 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000 DWT VESSEL, OPEN CIGADING, FIXED A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $8,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week has been attempting to recalibrate itself in consideration of weakening freight levels and increasi ...
Saturday, 21 December 19
SHIPPING'S SUPPLY AND DEMAND TRENDING OFF BALANCE - BIMCO
One of the most worrying trends that has developed recently – which will affect shipping demand in the years to come – is the falling t ...
Friday, 20 December 19
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 19 December 19
COAL POWER GENERATION CONTINUES TO DECLINE IN GERMANY: DESTATIS, XINHUA REPORTED
The volume of electricity generated in coal-fired power plants in Germany decreased “markedly” by 37 percent to 34 billion kilowatt-hou ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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