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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 25 March 23
COAL INDIA HAS STRONG CASE TO INCREASE PRICES, TALKS ON: CMD AGRAWAL - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India (CIL) Chairman and Managing Director Pramod Agrawal said on Monday there is a “strong case” for increasing coal prices, and ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
ASIAN CRUDE PALM OIL WATCH 1Q23 - FITCH RATINGS
Malaysian benchmark crude palm oil (CPO) spot prices have averaged around USD915 per tonne (t) so far in 1Q23, sharply lower than the average of ar ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORT INCREASED BY 21.0% YOY TO 388.4 MLN T IN 2022 - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In the f ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
GLOBAL LNG-ASIA SPOT PRICES SLIP AS WEAK NORTHERN DEMAND REMAINS - REUTERS
Asian spot prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) declined this week, falling to a 21-month low, as weak demand in the northeast Asia region continu ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
OIL PRICE FALL SPECULATIVE, TO HIT $140 BY YEAR-END -ANDURAND: REUTERS
The recent fall in oil prices due to banking jitters is speculative and oil will hit $140 a barrel by the end of the year, hedge fund manager Pierr ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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