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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 16 April 23
CHINA JUGGLES FOUR MAJOR ECONOMIC CHANGES IN 2023 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Change is afoot in China. Economic growth is slowing, while rising political tensions between China and the US, coupled with global supply chain re ...
Sunday, 16 April 23
CHINA'S MARCH COAL IMPORTS JUMP TO 3-YEAR HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal imports surged in March to their highest in any month over the past three years as utilities increased purchases on expectations ...
Sunday, 16 April 23
OPEC KEEPS WORLD OIL DEMAND GROWTH OUTLOOK UNCHANGED
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined in March by $3.43, or 4.2%, m-o-m to average $78.45/b. The ICE Brent first-month contract fell by $4.33, o ...
Sunday, 16 April 23
CHEAPER SPOT LNG PRICES TEMPT SOME ASIAN BUYERS AMID SUPPLY GAINS - REUTERS
Cheaper spot prices for liquefied natural gas (LNG) are luring price-sensitive buyers back in Asia, with China and India recording rising imports i ...
Tuesday, 11 April 23
COAL USE CLIMBS WORLDWIDE DESPITE PROMISES TO SLASH IT - AAP
The burning of coal for electricity, cement, steel and other uses went up in 2022 despite global promises to phase down the fuel that is the bigges ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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