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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 April 23
OIL RISES ON CHINA STIMULUS EXPECTATIONS, WEAKER DOLLAR - REUTERS
Oil prices rose on Tuesday on expectations of potential economic stimulus by China, healthy demand in the rest of Asia and a drop in U.S. crude sto ...
Sunday, 09 April 23
CHINA’S BUSINESS INCOME REBOUND POINTS TO IMPROVING ECONOMY: OFFICIAL - XINHUA
Chinese businesses have posted a strong rebound in sales revenue since the beginning of this year in the latest signal of an improving economy.
...
Sunday, 09 April 23
COAL INDIA TO BOOST SUPPLIES TO INDUSTRIES AS UTILITIES’ INVENTORIES RISE - REUTERS
Coal India Ltd will increase supplies to industries, the world’s largest coal miner said on Wednesday as fuel inventories at utilities run by ...
Thursday, 06 April 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
LNG Current Supply/Demand Dynamics
This year, LNG supply will likely exceed demand, so prices will need to decline to levels that will encourag ...
Sunday, 26 March 23
EUROPE’S RUSH TO LNG COULD TURN INTO 'WORLD’S MOST EXPENSIVE AND UNNECESSARY INSURANCE POLICY'- CNBC
Europe’s rapid buildout of liquefied natural gas infrastructure is on track to far exceed demand by the end of the decade, according to new r ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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